Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 53.75%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 20.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.85%) and 1-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-0 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.