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Brest logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26
Feb 27, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Blé
Lorient logo

Brest
0 - 1
Lorient


Satriano (45+4'), Agoume (81')
Chardonnet (29')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kone (73')
Innocent (43'), Lauriente (45'), Mendes (45+4'), Abergel (65')

Preview: Brest vs. Lorient - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

After two games without a victory, Lorient will be hoping to get back to winning ways on Sunday when they travel to the Stade Francis-Le Ble in order to play Brest.

The visitors find themselves inside the relegation zone, while the hosts will be attempting to keep putting pressure on the teams in the top half of the table.


Match preview

Brest coach Michel Der Zakarian on January 22, 2022© Reuters

Brest head into this match on the back of two games without a loss, where they have managed to pick up four points, drawing their most recent encounter against Reims 1-1, with Martin Satriano bringing his team back into the game.

Prior to that Michel Der Zakarian's team won 5-1 against Troyes, with the result helping to keep them in touching distance of the top half of the Ligue 1 table.

Right now, the club only find themselves five points away from Lens, which is a gap that they will be looking to close, starting this weekend, with the need for consistency being key for them.

Brest have only won eight games all season, drawing the same number and losing nine times, and that is something that they will be looking to improve upon in the second half of the campaign.

When they met their opponents earlier this season, goals from Romain Faivre and Steve Mounie secured them three points in a 2-1 win, which is a result they would be happy to repeat.

Lorient's Armand Lauriente celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on September 10, 2021© Reuters

For Lorient, the squad is in desperate need for points as they find themselves in the relegation zone right now, sitting 18th in the table, but there is only goal difference separating them and Troyes.

A victory on Sunday could see them climb to 16th due to the closeness of the table, but at the same time, a defeat could lead to them slumping into 20th, which they will be keen to avoid.

The squad have only managed one victory in their previous six matches which came against Lens with goals from Sambou Soumano and Ibrahima Kone securing the 2-0 result.

Christophe Pelissier's team were defeated by Montpellier at the weekend, suffering a 1-0 loss, which marked the second game in a row where they failed to find the back of the net.

Away from home, Lorient have not managed to win a single game this season, only scoring 10 goals across their 13 fixtures, a situation they will be desperate to fix.

Brest Ligue 1 form:
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D

Brest form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D

Lorient Ligue 1 form:
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L



Team News

Brest players celebrate after Lille's Tiago Djalo scores an own goal and Brest's first on January 22, 2022© Reuters

Satriano has proven to be important for Brest recently, scoring in both of their most recent outings, which should lead to him retaining his place within the team this weekend.

Mounie could also be brought into the starting XI on Sunday after being used as a substitute in their previous match, but Sebastien Cibois could end up being unavailable once again, suffering an Achilles issue.

Moritz Jenz is an option for Lorient again after dealing with COVID-19, while Laurent Abergel did make a return to the team in their most recent match following a hamstring problem.

The squad are set to be missing a trio of players though, with, Fabien Lemoine, Stephane Diarra and Jeremy Morel all dealing with injury issues right now.

Brest possible starting lineup:
Bizot; Pierre-Gabriel, Herelle, Brassier, Duverne; Agoume, Magnetti; Honorat, Belalli, Del Castillo; Satriano

Lorient possible starting lineup:
Dreyer; Mendes, Laporte, Petrot, Le Goff; Innocent, Lauriente, Monconduit, Abergel, Boisgard; Soumano


SM words green background

We say: Brest 2-0 Lorient

Lorient are in a need to pick up three points in order to try and maintain their status within the league as they hope to push away from the relegation zone, but this will be another tricky fixture.

Brest are a strong side who have been able to pick up results regularly, and that is something that should provide them the edge at the weekend.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 2.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 55.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 20.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Brest vs Lorient

Brest
66.7%
Draw
20.8%
Lorient
12.5%
24
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris FCParis FC1282222111126
2Lorient127232314923
3Annecy126422013722
4DunkerqueDunkerque127142118322
5Metz126332012821
6GuingampGuingamp126152016419
7AmiensAmiens126151614219
8Grenoble125251714317
9Laval124351614215
10Bastia113621111015
11Clermont124351213-115
12PauPau124351317-415
13Caen124261416-214
14Red Star124261220-814
15Rodez AFRodez AF123361921-212
16Ajaccio11326813-511
17Troyes12327817-911
18Martigues12228725-188


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