Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14

Dec 3, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)

Toulouse
1 - 1
Lorient

Dallinga (72')
Donnum (1'), Martinez (2'), Sierro (83')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Dieng (90+1')
Bakayoko (9'), Talbi (33'), Ponceau (71'), Mendy (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Toulouse 0-0 Union SG
Thursday, November 30 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lorient

All competitions

Last Game: Lorient 2-3 Metz
Sunday, November 26 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

The hosts have not fared too well against Lorient at home in the recent past, winning just one of their previous four Ligue 1 games here, but there have been 19 goals in those previous meetings. Lorient's goal-laden season at both ends may therefore continue in a close encounter which will likely end level, especially considering the visitor's record of just one win in 16 away league games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 50.38%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 25.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Toulouse	Draw	Lorient
50.38% ( 1.43)	24.35% ( 0.17)	25.27% ( -1.6)

Both teams to score 54.14% (

-2.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.21% (

-2)

47.79% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.02% (

-1.87)

69.98% (

1.87)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.01% (

-0.2)

18.99% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.46% (

-0.34)

50.54% (

0.34)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.83% (

-2.34)

33.17% (

2.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.23% (

-2.66)

69.77% (

2.67)

Score Analysis

Toulouse 50.38%

Lorient 25.27%

Draw 24.34%

Toulouse	Draw	Lorient
1-0 @ 10.46% ( 0.78) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.6) 3-1 @ 5.31% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.3) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.16% Total : 50.38%	1-1 @ 11.54% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.51) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.31) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.34%	0-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.33) 0-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.29) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.25) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.41% Total : 25.27%