Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14
Dec 3, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
Toulouse1 - 1Lorient
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Toulouse 0-0 Union SG
Thursday, November 30 at 8pm in Europa League
Thursday, November 30 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Lorient 2-3 Metz
Sunday, November 26 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, November 26 at 2pm in Ligue 1
We said: Toulouse 2-2 Lorient
The hosts have not fared too well against Lorient at home in the recent past, winning just one of their previous four Ligue 1 games here, but there have been 19 goals in those previous meetings. Lorient's goal-laden season at both ends may therefore continue in a close encounter which will likely end level, especially considering the visitor's record of just one win in 16 away league games. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 50.38%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 25.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Toulouse | Draw | Lorient |
50.38% ( 1.43) | 24.35% ( 0.17) | 25.27% ( -1.6) |
| Both teams to score 54.14% ( -2.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.21% ( -2) | 47.79% ( 2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.02% ( -1.87) | 69.98% ( 1.87) |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.01% ( -0.2) | 18.99% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.46% ( -0.34) | 50.54% ( 0.34) |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.83% ( -2.34) | 33.17% ( 2.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.23% ( -2.66) | 69.77% ( 2.67) |
| Score Analysis |
Toulouse 50.38%
Lorient 25.27%
Draw 24.34%
| Toulouse | Draw | Lorient |
| 1-0 @ 10.46% ( 0.78) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.6)3-1 @ 5.31% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.3)3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.16% Total : 50.38% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.51)2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.31)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.34% | 0-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.33)0-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.29)2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.25)0-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.41% Total : 25.27% |
How you voted: Toulouse vs Lorient
Toulouse
57.9%Draw
26.3%Lorient
15.8%19
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2023 2pm
Aug 21, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 3
Toulouse
2-2
Lorient
Oct 31, 2018 8.05pm
Feb 8, 2017 6pm
Dec 10, 2016 7pm
Toulouse
3-2
Lorient
Moukandjo (27'), Waris (90')
