Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Strasbourg | Draw | Marseille |
32.39% ( -0.29) | 26.78% ( -0.1) | 40.82% ( 0.39) |
Both teams to score 50.98% ( 0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.99% ( 0.31) | 54% ( -0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.56% ( 0.26) | 75.44% ( -0.26) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.92% ( -0.04) | 31.08% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.6% ( -0.05) | 67.4% ( 0.05) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.97% ( 0.35) | 26.02% ( -0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.94% ( 0.47) | 61.06% ( -0.47) |
Score Analysis |
Strasbourg | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 7.43% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.99% Total : 32.39% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.09% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.78% | 0-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.56% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 7.33% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.84% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.26% Total : 40.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 37 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |