Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Strasbourg | Draw | Marseille |
32.39% ( -0.29) | 26.78% ( -0.1) | 40.82% ( 0.39) |
Both teams to score 50.98% ( 0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.99% ( 0.31) | 54% ( -0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.56% ( 0.26) | 75.44% ( -0.26) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.92% ( -0.04) | 31.08% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.6% ( -0.05) | 67.4% ( 0.05) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.97% ( 0.35) | 26.02% ( -0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.94% ( 0.47) | 61.06% ( -0.47) |
Score Analysis |
Strasbourg | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 7.43% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.99% Total : 32.39% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.09% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.78% | 0-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.56% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 7.33% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.84% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.26% Total : 40.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 10 | 23 | 29 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 23 |
3 | Marseille | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 20 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Reims | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
13 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
14 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |