Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 47.61%. A win for Lens had a probability of 26.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Lens win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.