Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 42.51%. A win for Angers had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.94%). The likeliest Angers win was 1-0 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
