Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30
Apr 19, 2025 at 8.05pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Marseille5 - 1Montpellier
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Monaco 3-0 Marseille
Saturday, April 12 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, April 12 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Goals
for
for
57
Last Game: Angers 2-0 Montpellier
Sunday, April 13 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, April 13 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1
Goals
for
for
21
We said: Marseille 3-0 Montpellier
Montpellier are limping towards an embarrassing relegation, and if their performance at Angers last week is anything to go by, then there is nothing down for them here either. Marseille also came in for heavy criticism following their defeat at Monaco, but they have the quality to comfortably sweep this beleaguered Montpellier team aside. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 70.66%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 12.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 3-0 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.74%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (3.63%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
70.66% ( -0.12) | 16.88% ( 0.02) | 12.47% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 55.61% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.87% ( 0.17) | 34.13% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.99% ( 0.19) | 56.01% ( -0.19) |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.41% ( 0.02) | 8.59% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 70.32% ( 0.04) | 29.67% ( -0.04) |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.84% ( 0.27) | 39.16% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.12% ( 0.25) | 75.88% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
Marseille 70.65%
Montpellier HSC 12.47%
Draw 16.88%
| Marseille | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 2-0 @ 10.13% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0)3-0 @ 8.29% ( -0.05)1-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.34% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1.02% ( -0)6-1 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 3.04% Total : 70.65% | 1-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.18% Total : 16.88% | 1-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.15% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.68% Total : 12.47% |
How you voted: Marseille vs Montpellier
Marseille
82.4%Draw
11.8%Montpellier HSC
5.9%34
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Marseille
4-1
Montpellier
Mar 31, 2023 8pm
Jan 2, 2023 6pm
