Ligue 1 | Gameweek 25
Mar 8, 2025 at 8.05pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Marseille0 - 1Lens
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Marseille 2-0 Nantes
Sunday, March 2 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, March 2 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Goals
for
for
52
Last Game: Lens 3-4 Le Havre
Saturday, March 1 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, March 1 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Goals
for
for
29
We said: Marseille 3-0 Lens
Marseille have done well to correct their worrying home form that was threatening to derail their season around the midway point, and they will now expect to push on and claim a top-three finish. Lens only lost one of their first 10 away games this season - winning five - but they have now fallen to defeat in successive matches on the road, and after losing again to relegation fodder last weekend, there is little down for the visitors here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 51.05%. A win for Lens had a probability of 25.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Lens |
51.05% ( 0.14) | 23.53% ( -0.03) | 25.42% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 57.01% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.93% ( 0) | 44.07% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.55% ( 0) | 66.45% ( -0) |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.68% ( 0.05) | 17.32% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.32% ( 0.09) | 47.68% ( -0.1) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.95% ( -0.1) | 31.05% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.63% ( -0.11) | 67.37% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
Marseille 51.05%
Lens 25.42%
Draw 23.52%
| Marseille | Draw | Lens |
| 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.65% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.3% 4-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0)Other @ 3.86% Total : 51.05% | 1-1 @ 11.02% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.38% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.52% | 1-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.29% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.85% Total : 25.42% |
How you voted: Marseille vs Lens
Marseille
95.6%Draw
4.4%Lens
0.0%45
Head to Head
Apr 28, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 31
Marseille
2-1
Lens
Nov 12, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Lens
1-0
Marseille
May 6, 2023 8pm
Oct 22, 2022 8pm
