Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 61.82%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 17.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
61.82% | 20.82% | 17.36% |
Both teams to score 54.05% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.75% | 42.25% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.35% | 64.65% |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.86% | 13.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.19% | 39.8% |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.22% | 37.78% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.45% | 74.55% |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
2-0 @ 10.22% 1-0 @ 10.07% 2-1 @ 9.95% 3-0 @ 6.92% 3-1 @ 6.73% 4-0 @ 3.51% 4-1 @ 3.42% 3-2 @ 3.28% 4-2 @ 1.66% 5-0 @ 1.43% 5-1 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.25% Total : 61.82% | 1-1 @ 9.81% 0-0 @ 4.96% 2-2 @ 4.84% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.82% | 0-1 @ 4.83% 1-2 @ 4.77% 0-2 @ 2.35% 2-3 @ 1.57% 1-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.28% Total : 17.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 37 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |