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Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 29
Mar 31, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Montpellier

Marseille
1 - 1
Montpellier

Guendouzi (44' pen.)
Veretout (45+6'), Gigot (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Nordin (12')
Sakho (42'), Germain (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reims 1-2 Marseille
Sunday, March 19 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Marseille 1-1 Montpellier HSC

Marseille's home form has often been underwhelming this season, and they will be tested fully by such an in-form Montpellier side. The visitors have become very solid defensively, but Ferri's suspension gives Der Zakarian a selection headache with so many players out injured in that position. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 61.82%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 17.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawMontpellier HSC
61.82%20.82%17.36%
Both teams to score 54.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.75%42.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.35%64.65%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.86%13.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.19%39.8%
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.22%37.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.45%74.55%
Score Analysis
    Marseille 61.82%
    Montpellier HSC 17.36%
    Draw 20.82%
MarseilleDrawMontpellier HSC
2-0 @ 10.22%
1-0 @ 10.07%
2-1 @ 9.95%
3-0 @ 6.92%
3-1 @ 6.73%
4-0 @ 3.51%
4-1 @ 3.42%
3-2 @ 3.28%
4-2 @ 1.66%
5-0 @ 1.43%
5-1 @ 1.39%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 61.82%
1-1 @ 9.81%
0-0 @ 4.96%
2-2 @ 4.84%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 20.82%
0-1 @ 4.83%
1-2 @ 4.77%
0-2 @ 2.35%
2-3 @ 1.57%
1-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 17.36%

How you voted: Marseille vs Montpellier

Marseille
75.4%
Draw
20.2%
Montpellier HSC
4.4%
114
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2023 6pm
Montpellier
1-2
Marseille
Savanier (90+1' pen.)
Tavares (47'), Esteve (61' og.)
Mbemba (7')
Apr 10, 2022 8pm
Marseille
2-0
Montpellier
Dieng (9'), Under (19' pen.)

Ferri (18'), Leroy (66')
Omlin (90')
Jan 29, 2022 8pm
Round of 16
Marseille
1-1
Montpellier
Marseille win 5-4 on penalties
Milik (74')
Kamara (90+1')
Makouana (80')
Aug 8, 2021 7.45pm
Montpellier
2-3
Marseille
Peres (30' og.), Laborde (34')
Under (68'), Payet (75', 80')
Peres (44')
Apr 10, 2021 8pm
Montpellier
3-3
Marseille
Delort (1'), Laborde (47', 90+2')
Mollet (8'), Ferri (76')
Milik (43'), Gueye (45+1'), Perrin (71')
Thauvin (40'), Gonzalez (54')
Caleta-Car (62')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207


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