Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28
Apr 6, 2025 at 4.15pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Montpellier0 - 2Le Havre
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Auxerre 1-0 Montpellier
Sunday, March 30 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, March 30 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1
Goals
for
for
21
Last Game: Le Havre 3-2 Nantes
Sunday, March 30 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, March 30 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1
Goals
for
for
29
We said: Montpellier HSC 1-3 Le Havre
Like Le Havre's recent matches, we think that Sunday's contest will produce goals to interest the neutral viewer, and after winning two of their previous three away games, we believe that the visitors will do enough to condemn Montpellier to a ninth consecutive defeat. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 37.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.99%) and 0-2 (5.48%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Le Havre would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Le Havre |
37.53% ( -0.36) | 23.8% ( 0.2) | 38.67% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 62.25% ( -0.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.13% ( -1.02) | 39.87% ( 1.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.78% ( -1.06) | 62.23% ( 1.07) |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.62% ( -0.63) | 21.38% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.63% ( -0.98) | 54.37% ( 0.98) |
| Le Havre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.18% ( -0.37) | 20.83% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.5% ( -0.58) | 53.5% ( 0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC 37.53%
Le Havre 38.67%
Draw 23.79%
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Le Havre |
| 2-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.71% Total : 37.53% | 1-1 @ 10.77% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.21)3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.79% | 1-2 @ 8.46% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.25)0-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 4.42% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 2.85% Total : 38.67% |
How you voted: Montpellier vs Le Havre
Montpellier HSC
18.5%Draw
18.5%Le Havre
63.0%27
