Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 73.18%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Metz had a probability of 10.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-3 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.47%), while for a Metz win it was 2-1 (3.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Metz | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
10.77% | 16.05% | 73.18% |
Both teams to score 52.76% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.12% | 34.89% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.14% | 56.87% |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.49% | 42.51% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.13% | 78.88% |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.78% | 8.23% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.23% | 28.77% |
Score Analysis |
Metz | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
2-1 @ 3.2% 1-0 @ 2.99% 2-0 @ 1.28% 3-2 @ 1.14% 3-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.26% Total : 10.77% | 1-1 @ 7.47% 2-2 @ 3.99% 0-0 @ 3.5% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.14% Total : 16.05% | 0-2 @ 10.91% 1-2 @ 9.33% 0-3 @ 9.09% 0-1 @ 8.74% 1-3 @ 7.77% 0-4 @ 5.68% 1-4 @ 4.86% 2-3 @ 3.33% 0-5 @ 2.84% 1-5 @ 2.43% 2-4 @ 2.08% 0-6 @ 1.18% 2-5 @ 1.04% 1-6 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.92% Total : 73.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |