MX23RW : Monday, March 10 22:21:42| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Le Havre
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17
Jan 12, 2025 at 2pm UK
Stade Oceane
Lens logo

Le Havre
1 - 2
Lens

Ayew (8')
Ayew (34'), Youte Kinkoue (62')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Koyalipou (28'), Machado (77')
Thomasson (13'), Koffi (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Le Havre and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Marseille 5-1 Le Havre
Sunday, January 5 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 0-1 Toulouse
Sunday, January 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Le Havre 0-1 Lens

Le Havre have the worst attack in the league (12 goals) this season, while Lens have conceded the second-fewest goals (15), and we believe the visitors will not have enough to shut down Les Ciel et Marine and return to winning ways. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 66.9%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 12.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.41%) and 1-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Le Havre win it was 1-0 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
Le HavreDrawLens
12.55% (0.058 0.06) 20.55% (0.023999999999997 0.02) 66.9% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Both teams to score 43.23% (0.089999999999996 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.43% (0.027999999999999 0.03)50.57% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.51% (0.024000000000001 0.02)72.49% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.4% (0.115 0.12)49.59% (-0.12 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.62% (0.081 0.08)84.37% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.76% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)14.23% (0.016 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.01% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)41.98% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Le Havre 12.55%
    Lens 66.89%
    Draw 20.55%
Le HavreDrawLens
1-0 @ 4.95% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 3.39% (0.017 0.02)
2-0 @ 1.74% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 12.55%
1-1 @ 9.65% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.06% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.3% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 20.55%
0-1 @ 13.76% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 13.41% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.41% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 8.72% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 6.11% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-4 @ 4.25% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.98% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.008 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.66% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.16% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.05% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 66.89%

How you voted: Le Havre vs Lens

Le Havre
14.3%
Draw
20.0%
Lens
65.7%
35
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 28
Lens
1-1
Le Havre
Frankowski (58')
Gradit (62'), Aguilar (72')
Sabbi (78' pen.)
Ayew (51'), Operi (63'), Kechta (69'), Bayo (90+5'), Toure (90+2'), Bayo (90+6')
Oct 20, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 9
Le Havre
0-0
Lens
Sabbi (29'), Sangante (65')
Diouf (12'), Danso (20'), Frankowski (34')
Jan 31, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 22
Le Havre
0-0
Lens
Fortes (29')
Aug 17, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 4
Lens
1-3
Le Havre
Gillet (46')
Teka (24'), Gillet (43'), Fortes (45'), Perez (75')
Kadewere (67', 79'), Bese (84')
Dina (30'), Fontaine (60')
Apr 1, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Lens
0-0
Le Havre
Teka (69'), Doucoure (74')
Bain (34'), Youga (58'), Fontaine (66')
Youga (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG25205070244665
2Marseille25154652302249
3Nice25137549301946
4MonacoMonaco25135749321744
5Lille25128540271344
6Lyon25126746311542
7StrasbourgStrasbourg2511773932740
8Lens2510693029136
9Brest25113113840-236
10Toulouse259793227534
11Auxerre2587103638-231
12Rennes2592143536-129
13Angers2576122640-1427
14NantesNantes2559112843-1524
15Reims2557132640-1422
16Le HavreLe Havre2563162451-2721
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne2555152557-3220
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier2543182159-3815


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