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Ligue 1
Montpellier
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15
Dec 8, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Lens logo

Montpellier
0 - 0
Lens


Delaye (84'), Ferri (90+3')
FT

Danso (12'), Frankowski (15'), Gradit (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last Game: Monaco 2-0 Montpellier
Sunday, December 3 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Lens

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 3-2 Lyon
Saturday, December 2 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Montpellier HSC 0-1 Lens

 Fatigue and the aftershock of their Champions League demolition versus Arsenal can be pinpointed as factors in Lens' underwhelming defensive display against Lyon, but Haise's rearguard excel on the road, while Montpellier's shooting boots have often eluded them in recent matches. The hosts' stingy 5-4-1 setup could still prove difficult for Lens to break down more than once, but with a well-rested Wahi determined to make his mark on his old stomping ground, another three points should come the way of Les Sang et Or. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 36.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.12%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawLens
36.23% (0.562 0.56) 25.06% (-0.106 -0.11) 38.7% (-0.46299999999999 -0.46)
Both teams to score 57.5% (0.432 0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.03% (0.533 0.53)45.97% (-0.538 -0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.72% (0.501 0.5)68.28% (-0.50700000000001 -0.51)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.17% (0.563 0.56)24.83% (-0.569 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.58% (0.78 0.78)59.42% (-0.787 -0.79)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)23.51% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.46% (0.00099999999999767 0)57.54% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 36.23%
    Lens 38.7%
    Draw 25.06%
Montpellier HSCDrawLens
2-1 @ 8.2% (0.083 0.08)
1-0 @ 8.13% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.66% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.81% (0.099 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.76% (0.072 0.07)
3-0 @ 2.63% (0.068 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.33% (0.055 0.06)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.04 0.04)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 36.23%
1-1 @ 11.77% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.94% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.84% (-0.135 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.06%
1-2 @ 8.52% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
0-1 @ 8.45% (-0.195 -0.2)
0-2 @ 6.12% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-3 @ 4.11% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.95% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.87% (0.029 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.49% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.07% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.04% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 38.7%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Lens

Montpellier HSC
13.2%
Draw
13.2%
Lens
73.5%
68
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 25
Montpellier
1-1
Lens
Maouassa (59')
Fulgini (4')
> Preview
Oct 15, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 11
Lens
1-0
Montpellier
Said (67')
> Preview
Apr 20, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 33
Lens
2-0
Montpellier
Costa (37'), Ganago (75')
Costa (70')
> Preview
Oct 17, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 10
Montpellier
1-0
Lens
Mavididi (47')
Chotard (58'), Esteve (67'), Ferri (68')
Ferri (86')

Wooh (29'), Costa (62'), Jean (77'), Said (81')
> Preview
Jan 30, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 22
Montpellier
1-2
Lens
Wahi (78')
Mavididi (15'), Mendes (16'), Laborde (18'), Hilton (48')
Doucoure (7'), Kakuta (67')
Sotoca (51'), Banza (55'), Mauricio (83'), Haidara (90')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG15114040122837
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1593324121230
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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