Ligue 1 | Gameweek 25
Feb 25, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Montpellier1 - 1Lens
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Troyes 0-1 Montpellier
Sunday, February 19 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, February 19 at 2pm in Ligue 1
We said: Montpellier HSC 1-1 Lens
Having claimed back-to-back wins following Der Zakarian's arrival, Montpellier will fancy their chances of frustrating Lens, regardless of the 23-point gap between the two sides. The Blood and Gold have drawn four of their last five away league outings, so the European chasers might have to settle for another point on the road this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 63.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 16.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.3%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-0 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lens |
16.21% ( 0.64) | 20.4% ( 0.17) | 63.39% ( -0.81) |
| Both teams to score 53% ( 0.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.58% ( 0.46) | 42.41% ( -0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.18% ( 0.45) | 64.82% ( -0.45) |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.73% ( 1.1) | 39.26% ( -1.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.03% ( 1.01) | 75.97% ( -1.02) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.26% ( -0.09) | 12.74% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.02% ( -0.19) | 38.98% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC 16.21%
Lens 63.38%
Draw 20.4%
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lens |
| 1-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.09)Other @ 2% Total : 16.21% | 1-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.4% | 0-2 @ 10.61% ( -0.3) 0-1 @ 10.3% ( -0.25)1-2 @ 9.93% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 7.29% ( -0.23)1-3 @ 6.82% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 3.76% ( -0.13)1-4 @ 3.51% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.09)2-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.04)0-5 @ 1.55% ( -0.06)1-5 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.33% Total : 63.38% |
How you voted: Montpellier vs Lens
Montpellier HSC
27.7%Draw
17.0%Lens
55.3%47
