MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 03:19:34| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
AC Ajaccio
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 27
Mar 12, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Francois Coty
Montpellier

Ajaccio
0 - 1
Montpellier


Youssouf (5'), Gonzalez (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Wahi (68')
Nordin (32'), Savanier (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Ajaccio and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reims 1-0 Ajaccio
Sunday, March 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Ajaccio 0-2 Montpellier HSC

Ajaccio are desperate for points in their bid to climb out of the bottom four, but Montpellier are full of confidence under their new boss, and we see them putting another victory on the board on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.

Result
AjaccioDrawMontpellier HSC
41.1% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08) 27.91% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 31% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
Both teams to score 47.17% (-0.055 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.39% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)58.61% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.83% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)79.17% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.97% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)28.03% (0.084 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.32% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)63.68% (0.106 0.11)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.55%34.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.84% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)71.17% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Score Analysis
    Ajaccio 41.09%
    Montpellier HSC 31%
    Draw 27.9%
AjaccioDrawMontpellier HSC
1-0 @ 12.28% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.32% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.81% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.53% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.31% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.88% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.05% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 41.09%
1-1 @ 13.08%
0-0 @ 9.66% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.44% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 27.9%
0-1 @ 10.29% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.97% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 5.48% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.48% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.95% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 31%

How you voted: Ajaccio vs Montpellier

Ajaccio
20.0%
Draw
15.6%
Montpellier HSC
64.4%
45
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2022 6pm
Oct 28, 2014 7pm
Third Round
Montpellier
0-1
Ajaccio
Madri (44')
Abergel (37')
Feb 22, 2014 7pm
Montpellier
2-0
Ajaccio
Mounier (55'), Cabella (90')
Deplagne (76')

Tonucci (82')
Sep 29, 2013 4pm
Ajaccio
1-1
Montpellier
Zubar (36')
Zubar (24'), Popescu (56')
Goncalves (9')
Cabella (10' pen.)
Jebbour (18'), Camara (62')
Jebbour (38')
Apr 27, 2013 7pm
Ajaccio
2-1
Montpellier
Oliech (90'), Delorte (82' pen.)
Mutu (17'), Lasne (73')
Diawara (47')
Mounier (56')
Belhanda (60')
El Kaoutari (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG25205070244665
2Marseille25154652302249
3Nice25137549301946
4MonacoMonaco25135749321744
5Lille25128540271344
6Lyon25126746311542
7StrasbourgStrasbourg2511773932740
8Lens2510693029136
9Brest25113113840-236
10Toulouse259793227534
11Auxerre2587103638-231
12Rennes2592143536-129
13Angers2576122640-1427
14NantesNantes2559112843-1524
15Reims2557132640-1422
16Le HavreLe Havre2563162451-2721
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne2555152557-3220
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier2543182159-3815


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