Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26
Mar 5, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
We said: Montpellier HSC 3-0 Angers
Montpellier look rejuvenated under new management, and with plenty of confidence back in the camp and momentum on their side, we expect them to cruise pas an Angers side who seem to be confined to the drop.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 40.25% . A win for Angers had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.8% .
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.77%) . The likeliest Angers win was 0-1 (8.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%) . The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.
Result Montpellier HSC Draw Angers 40.25% ( 0.15) 25.79% ( -0.03) 33.96% ( -0.13)
Both teams to score 54.61% ( 0.06)
50.46% ( 0.09) 49.53% ( -0.09)
28.44% ( 0.08) 71.56% ( -0.08)
75.7% ( 0.12) 24.3% ( -0.12)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 41.32% ( 0.17) 58.67% ( -0.17)
72.15% ( -0.04) 27.85% ( 0.04)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 36.55% ( -0.05) 63.45% ( 0.04)
Montpellier HSC 40.25%
Angers 33.96%
Draw 25.78%
Montpellier HSC Draw Angers 1-0 @ 9.57% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.08% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.86% Total : 40.25% 1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.78% 0-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.82% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 33.96%
How you voted: Montpellier vs Angers
Montpellier HSC
Draw
Angers
27
rhs 2.0
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