MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 18:20:43| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24
Feb 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium Municipal
Marseille

Toulouse
2 - 3
Marseille

Dallinga (3'), Onaiwu (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mbemba (52'), Under (59'), Tavares (78')
Under (54'), Kolasinac (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toulouse 3-1 Rennes
Sunday, February 12 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 0-2 Marseille
Saturday, February 11 at 8.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Toulouse 0-2 Marseille

We should see a different-looking Toulouse side who seem to have settled down nicely since some shaky performances at the end of 2022. However, the depth of Marseille and their ability to remain calm and organised when pressed at the back can frustrate opposing teams, while they have plenty of dependable players in attack who can get the job done. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 57.5%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 20.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.92%) and 0-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Toulouse win it was 1-0 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
ToulouseDrawMarseille
20.16% (0.165 0.17) 22.33% (0.11 0.11) 57.5% (-0.272 -0.27)
Both teams to score 54.12% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.34% (-0.247 -0.25)44.65% (0.25 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.98% (-0.239 -0.24)67.02% (0.242 0.24)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.88% (0.033999999999999 0.03)36.12% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.09% (0.029 0.03)72.9% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.73% (-0.173 -0.17)15.27% (0.175 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.03% (-0.327 -0.33)43.97% (0.33 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 20.16%
    Marseille 57.5%
    Draw 22.33%
ToulouseDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 5.62% (0.065 0.07)
2-1 @ 5.37% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 2.86% (0.035 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.82% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 0.97% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 20.16%
1-1 @ 10.55% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.52% (0.059 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.05% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.33%
0-1 @ 10.36% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.92% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.74% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.21% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-3 @ 6.1% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.16% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.92% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-4 @ 2.87% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.49% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-5 @ 1.1% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-5 @ 1.08% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 57.5%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Marseille

Toulouse
7.5%
Draw
9.7%
Marseille
82.8%
93
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2022 8pm
Marseille
6-1
Toulouse
Rongier (13'), Nicolaisen (41' og.), Kolasinac (51'), Payet (61'), Under (80' pen.), Tavares (82')
Clauss (65')
Van den Boomen (66' pen.)
Feb 8, 2020 4.30pm
Nov 24, 2019 8pm
Toulouse
0-2
Marseille

Sangare (32'), Isimat-Mirin (63'), Amian (86')
Moreira (41')
Benedetto (76'), Radonjic (79')
Strootman (70'), Radonjic (80'), Kamara (82')
May 18, 2019 8pm
Toulouse
2-5
Marseille
Leya Iseka (26'), Gradel (61')
Jullien (22')
Sanson (29'), Sakai (50'), N'Jie (76'), Thauvin (90')
Amavi (39'), Rami (59')
Aug 10, 2018 7.45pm
Marseille
4-0
Toulouse
Payet (45' pen., 62'), Germain (89'), Thauvin (90')
Amavi (46')

Jullien (11'), Amian (44'), Sangare (55')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG12102036102632
2MonacoMonaco1282221101126
3Marseille1272327161123
4Lille126421911822
5Lyon125431916319
6Auxerre126152119219
7Reims125342016418
8Nice1145221111017
9Lens124531312117
10Toulouse124351314-115
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest124171622-613
13Saint-EtienneSt Etienne124171125-1413
14Rennes123271319-611
15NantesNantes112451417-310
16Angers122461321-810
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier122191132-217


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