Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 57.5%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 20.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.92%) and 0-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Toulouse win it was 1-0 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
Result | ||
Toulouse | Draw | Marseille |
20.16% (![]() | 22.33% (![]() | 57.5% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.12% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.34% (![]() | 44.65% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.98% (![]() | 67.02% (![]() |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.88% (![]() | 36.12% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.09% (![]() | 72.9% (![]() |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.73% (![]() | 15.27% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.03% (![]() | 43.97% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Toulouse | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 5.62% (![]() 2-1 @ 5.37% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.86% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.82% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.71% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 1.8% Total : 20.16% | 1-1 @ 10.55% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.52% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.05% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.33% | 0-1 @ 10.36% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.92% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 9.74% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.21% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 6.1% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.16% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.92% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.87% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.49% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.1% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 2.56% Total : 57.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |