Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Reims 4-0 Troyes
Sunday, February 12 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, February 12 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 3-0 Brest
Sunday, February 12 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, February 12 at 2pm in Ligue 1
We said: Troyes 2-3 Montpellier HSC
Given that Montpellier have shown some improved signs in recent weeks, we expect them to emerge as narrow victors, in what should be an end-to-end game with plenty of goals. La Paillade are heading into the match off the back of a confidence-boosting victory, while Troyes have been in very poor form for a long time, and we cannot see that changing on Sunday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Troyes | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
38.77% ( 0.78) | 26.29% ( -0.13) | 34.93% ( -0.64) |
| Both teams to score 53.11% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
