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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Nantes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23
Feb 12, 2023 at 4.05pm UK
La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau
Lorient logo

Nantes
1 - 0
Lorient

Blas (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Angers 1-1 Nantes (2-4 pen.)
Wednesday, February 8 at 5.15pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Lorient 1-1 Lens (2-4 pen.)
Thursday, February 9 at 8pm in Coupe de France

We said: Nantes 0-0 Lorient

With a big European match upcoming, we expect Kombouare will want to give his starters a little playing time but not much so as not to risk an injury. Therefore, we expect La Maison Jaune to be pragmatic in their approach this weekend and hang back defensively, while containing the Lorient attack should not be a problem for them as Les Merlus have not shown much quality in front of goal lately. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nantes in this match.

Result
NantesDrawLorient
43.39% (-1.536 -1.54) 25.24% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 31.37% (1.554 1.55)
Both teams to score 55.57% (0.84 0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.1% (0.741 0.74)47.9% (-0.739 -0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.92% (0.678 0.68)70.08% (-0.676 -0.68)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.96% (-0.395 -0.39)22.04% (0.398 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.62% (-0.603 -0.6)55.37% (0.604 0.6)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.29% (1.432 1.43)28.71% (-1.431 -1.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.46% (1.754 1.75)64.54% (-1.752 -1.75)
Score Analysis
    Nantes 43.39%
    Lorient 31.37%
    Draw 25.23%
NantesDrawLorient
1-0 @ 9.57% (-0.415 -0.41)
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.133 -0.13)
2-0 @ 7.24% (-0.405 -0.4)
3-1 @ 4.55% (-0.122 -0.12)
3-0 @ 3.65% (-0.25 -0.25)
3-2 @ 2.84% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.72% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.38% (-0.112 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 43.39%
1-1 @ 11.94% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.33% (-0.196 -0.2)
2-2 @ 5.63% (0.14 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.23%
0-1 @ 7.9% (0.073 0.07)
1-2 @ 7.45% (0.272 0.27)
0-2 @ 4.93% (0.236 0.24)
1-3 @ 3.1% (0.23 0.23)
2-3 @ 2.34% (0.148 0.15)
0-3 @ 2.05% (0.174 0.17)
1-4 @ 0.97% (0.106 0.11)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 31.37%

How you voted: Nantes vs Lorient

Nantes
56.9%
Draw
19.6%
Lorient
23.5%
51
Head to Head
Sep 11, 2022 2pm
Lorient
3-2
Nantes
Ouattara (19'), Cathline (60'), Kone (74')
Ganago (13'), Simon (85')
Simon (40')
Jan 23, 2022 2pm
Nantes
4-2
Lorient
Girotto (39'), Kolo (53'), Bukari (69'), Geubbels (86')
Moutoussamy (45+1'), Da Silva (77'), Appiah (83')
Moffi (56'), Soumano (85')
Dec 5, 2021 2pm
Mar 21, 2021 2pm
Nov 8, 2020 2pm
Lorient
0-2
Nantes

Abergel (18'), Lauriente (19'), Morel (82')
Bamba (80'), Blas (83')
Louza (32')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG12102036102632
2MonacoMonaco1282221101126
3Marseille1272327161123
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon125431916319
6Reims125342016418
7Nice1145221111017
8Lens124531312117
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse124351314-115
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest124171622-613
13Saint-EtienneSt Etienne124171125-1413
14Rennes113261318-511
15NantesNantes112451417-310
16Angers112451320-710
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier122191132-217


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