Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22

Feb 5, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stade Francois Coty

Ajaccio
0 - 2
Nantes

Chabrolle (19'), El Idrissy (56')
Diallo (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Guessand (64'), Blas (89' pen.)
Victor (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Ajaccio and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajaccio

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Angers 1-2 Ajaccio
Wednesday, February 1 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Nantes

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Nantes 0-2 Marseille
Wednesday, February 1 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Ajaccio 0-0 Nantes

Neither side have shown much poise in the attacking third throughout the campaign, often employing defensive tactics, so we expect scoring chances to be at a premium in this encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 38%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.54%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 1-0 (11.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.

Result
Ajaccio	Draw	Nantes
32.39% ( -0.02)	29.61% ( 0)	38% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 42.92% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.95% (

-0.02)

64.05% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.78% (

-0.01)

83.22% (

0.01)

Ajaccio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.65% (

-0.02)

36.35% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.87% (

-0.02)

73.13% (

0.03)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.44% (

32.57% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.9% (

0.01)

69.1% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Ajaccio 32.39%

Nantes 38%

Draw 29.6%

Ajaccio	Draw	Nantes
1-0 @ 11.97% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.8% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.06% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.29% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.05% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 1.93% Total : 32.39%	1-1 @ 13.44% 0-0 @ 11.83% 2-2 @ 3.82% ( -0) Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.6%	0-1 @ 13.28% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.54% 0-2 @ 7.45% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.79% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.69% Total : 38%