Coupe de France | Round of 16

Feb 9, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir

Lorient
1 - 1
Lens

Le Fee (84')

FT
(aet)

Fulgini (21')
Poreba (50'), Boura (60'), Onana (82')

Lens win 4-2 on penalties

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Coupe de France clash between Lorient and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

All competitions

Coupe de France

Last Game: Lorient 0-0 Angers
Sunday, February 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lens

All competitions

Coupe de France

Last Game: Brest 1-1 Lens
Sunday, February 5 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Much of Lorient's domestic success this season centred around Moffi, and with the Nigerian off to Nice, we expect they will have a difficult time finding someone else to replace his quality in the attacking third. Lens, meanwhile, are as tough to break down as any side in Ligue 1, conceding the fewest goals domestically thus far (16), and although their form has dropped a little, we anticipate they will frustrate Lorient and eventually find a breakthrough in transition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 60.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 17.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.94%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (5.59%).

Result
Lorient	Draw	Lens
17.58% ( -0.19)	22.09% ( -0.05)	60.32% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 50.34% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.59% (

-0.1)

47.41% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.37% (

-0.09)

69.63% (

0.09)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.42% (

-0.29)

40.58% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.82% (

-0.26)

77.18% (

0.27)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.72% (

0.05)

15.28% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.01% (

0.09)

43.99% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Lorient 17.58%

Lens 60.31%

Draw 22.08%

Lorient	Draw	Lens
1-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.97% Total : 17.58%	1-1 @ 10.5% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.93% Total : 22.08%	0-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 10.94% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.87% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 6.85% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 6.18% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 3.22% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.9% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 60.31%