Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: PSG 3-1 Brest
Wednesday, February 7 at 8.10pm in Coupe de France
Wednesday, February 7 at 8.10pm in Coupe de France
We said: Paris Saint-Germain 2-1 Lille
While Lille have looked incredibly compact defensively, the PSG attack is on a roll and not only relying on Mbappe to score, and therefore, we doubt the visitors will be able to hold them off for 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 52.63%. A win for Lille had a probability of 24.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.75%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Lille win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lille |
52.63% ( 0.45) | 23.34% ( -0.05) | 24.03% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 56.12% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
