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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15
Dec 9, 2023 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
Nantes

PSG
2 - 1
Nantes

Barcola (41'), Kolo (83')
Hernandez (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mohamed (55')
Douglas (29'), Duverne (82'), Pierre-Gabriel (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nantes 1-0 Nice
Saturday, December 2 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 4-1 Nantes

The last two matches for Nantes in this competition were against defensive-minded sides, and we expect the speed and quality of Mbappe and Ousmane Dembele, among others, will be too much for the visitors to handle this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 74.38%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 9.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.62%) and 1-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.41%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (2.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawNantes
74.38% (0.01400000000001 0.01) 15.73% (-0.0039999999999996 -0) 9.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.39% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.84% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)36.16% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.72% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)58.27% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)8.27% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.1% (0.0040000000000049 0)28.89%
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.94% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)45.06% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.01% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)80.98% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 74.37%
    Nantes 9.88%
    Draw 15.73%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawNantes
2-0 @ 11.57%
3-0 @ 9.62% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.29% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-1 @ 9.23% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-1 @ 7.67% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 5.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 4.78% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.06% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-0 @ 2.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-1 @ 2.38%
4-2 @ 1.9% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
6-0 @ 1.24%
6-1 @ 0.99%
5-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 74.37%
1-1 @ 7.41% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 3.73% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 3.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 15.73%
0-1 @ 2.97%
1-2 @ 2.95% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-2 @ 1.19%
2-3 @ 0.98% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 9.88%

How you voted: PSG vs Nantes

Paris Saint-Germain
90.0%
Draw
10.0%
Nantes
0.0%
50
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 26
PSG
4-2
Nantes
Messi (12'), Hadjam (17' og.), Pereira (60'), Mbappe (90+2')
Blas (31'), Ganago (38')
Sep 3, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 6
Nantes
0-3
PSG

Pallois (33')
Da Silva (24')
Mbappe (18', 54'), Mendes (68')
Bernat (45+1'), Verratti (50'), Mbappe (58'), Ramos (68')
Jul 31, 2022 7pm
Final
PSG
4-0
Nantes
Messi (22'), Neymar (45+5', 82' pen.), Ramos (57')
Vitinha (16')

Coco (38'), Moutoussamy (75')
Castelletto (81')
Feb 19, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 25
Nantes
3-1
PSG
Kolo (4'), Merlin (15'), Blas (45+5' pen.)
Castelletto (17'), Appiah (45+1')
Neymar (47')
Verratti (38'), Wijnaldum (45+4'), Neymar (50'), Mbappe (83'), Hakimi (90+1'), di Maria (90+2')
Nov 20, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 14
PSG
3-1
Nantes
Mbappe (2'), Appiah (81' og.), Messi (87')
Verratti (71')
Navas (65')
Kolo (76')
Chirivella (39'), Blas (83')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG12102036102632
2MonacoMonaco1282221101126
3Marseille1272327161123
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon125431916319
6Reims125342016418
7Nice1145221111017
8Lens124531312117
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse124351314-115
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest124171622-613
13Saint-EtienneSt Etienne124171125-1413
14Rennes113261318-511
15NantesNantes112451417-310
16Angers112451320-710
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier122191132-217


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