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Ligue 1
PSG logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15
Dec 9, 2023 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
Nantes

PSG
2 - 1
Nantes

Barcola (41'), Kolo (83')
Hernandez (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mohamed (55')
Douglas (29'), Duverne (82'), Pierre-Gabriel (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 0-2 PSG
Sunday, December 3 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Nantes

All competitions
Last Game: Nantes 1-0 Nice
Saturday, December 2 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 4-1 Nantes

 The last two matches for Nantes in this competition were against defensive-minded sides, and we expect the speed and quality of Mbappe and Ousmane Dembele, among others, will be too much for the visitors to handle this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 74.38%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 9.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.62%) and 1-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.41%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (2.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawNantes
74.38% (0.01400000000001 0.01) 15.73% (-0.0039999999999996 -0) 9.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.39% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.84% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)36.16% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.72% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)58.27% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)8.27% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.1% (0.0040000000000049 0)28.89%
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.94% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)45.06% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.01% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)80.98% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 74.37%
    Nantes 9.88%
    Draw 15.73%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawNantes
2-0 @ 11.57%
3-0 @ 9.62% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.29% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-1 @ 9.23% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-1 @ 7.67% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 5.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 4.78% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.06% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-0 @ 2.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-1 @ 2.38%
4-2 @ 1.9% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
6-0 @ 1.24%
6-1 @ 0.99%
5-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 74.37%
1-1 @ 7.41% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 3.73% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 3.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 15.73%
0-1 @ 2.97%
1-2 @ 2.95% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-2 @ 1.19%
2-3 @ 0.98% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 9.88%

How you voted: PSG vs Nantes

Paris Saint-Germain
90.0%
Draw
10.0%
Nantes
0.0%
50
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 26
PSG
4-2
Nantes
Messi (12'), Hadjam (17' og.), Pereira (60'), Mbappe (90+2')
Blas (31'), Ganago (38')
> Preview
Sep 3, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 6
Nantes
0-3
PSG

Pallois (33')
Da Silva (24')
Mbappe (18', 54'), Mendes (68')
Bernat (45+1'), Verratti (50'), Mbappe (58'), Ramos (68')
> Preview
Jul 31, 2022 7pm
Final
PSG
4-0
Nantes
Messi (22'), Neymar (45+5', 82' pen.), Ramos (57')
Vitinha (16')

Coco (38'), Moutoussamy (75')
Castelletto (81')
> Preview
Feb 19, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 25
Nantes
3-1
PSG
Kolo (4'), Merlin (15'), Blas (45+5' pen.)
Castelletto (17'), Appiah (45+1')
Neymar (47')
Verratti (38'), Wijnaldum (45+4'), Neymar (50'), Mbappe (83'), Hakimi (90+1'), di Maria (90+2')
> Preview
Nov 20, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 14
PSG
3-1
Nantes
Mbappe (2'), Appiah (81' og.), Messi (87')
Verratti (71')
Navas (65')
Kolo (76')
Chirivella (39'), Blas (83')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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