Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 56.62%. A win for Lille had a probability of 22.16% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.06%) and 1-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Lille win was 1-2 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lille |
56.62% (![]() | 21.21% (![]() | 22.16% (![]() |
Both teams to score 61.13% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.17% (![]() | 36.83% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.99% (![]() | 59% (![]() |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.06% (![]() | 12.94% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.6% (![]() | 39.39% (![]() |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.21% (![]() | 29.79% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.14% (![]() | 65.86% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lille |
2-1 @ 9.76% (![]() 2-0 @ 8.06% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 7.88% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.65% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.49% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.03% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.4% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.81% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.06% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.39% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.15% ( ![]() Other @ 3.94% Total : 56.62% | 1-1 @ 9.54% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.91% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.85% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.63% ( ![]() Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.21% | 1-2 @ 5.78% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.67% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.83% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.39% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.33% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.14% ( ![]() Other @ 3.03% Total : 22.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 22 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 59 | 20 | 39 | 56 |
2 | Marseille | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 50 | 26 | 24 | 46 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 40 |
4 | Nice | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 37 |
5 | Lille | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 35 |
6 | Lyon | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 33 |
7 | Lens | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 33 |
8 | Brest | 22 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 32 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 30 |
10 | Toulouse | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 27 |
11 | Auxerre | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 25 |
12 | Rennes | 21 | 7 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 23 |
13 | Angers | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 23 |
14 | Reims | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 22 |
15 | NantesNantes | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 21 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 22 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 50 | -30 | 18 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 21 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 17 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 48 | -28 | 15 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |