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Ligue 1
Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18
Jan 14, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
PSG logo

Lens
0 - 2
PSG


Gradit (45+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Barcola (30'), Mbappe (89')
Soler (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 2-2 Monaco (5-6 pen.)
Sunday, January 7 at 1.30pm in Coupe de France

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Revel 0-9 PSG
Sunday, January 7 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France

We said: Lens 1-3 Paris Saint-Germain

 The old gang should be back together in terms of Lens' centre-back trio, but with lingering doubts over the fitness of several full-backs, PSG's tricky wide men could have a field day at the Stade Bollaert-Delelis. Twelve months on from Lens' memorable success in this fixture, history should not repeat itself for reigning champions PSG, who are the only Ligue 1 team without an away defeat this term and should maintain that unblemished record in style. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 48.2%. A win for Lens had a probability of 29.18% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.16%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Lens win was 2-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
LensDrawParis Saint-Germain
29.18% (-0.505 -0.5) 22.62% (0.13 0.13) 48.2% (0.379 0.38)
Both teams to score 63.53% (-0.834 -0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.09% (-0.95 -0.95)36.91% (0.954 0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.91% (-1.038 -1.04)59.09% (1.042 1.04)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.35% (-0.789 -0.79)24.65% (0.793 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.83% (-1.122 -1.12)59.17% (1.127 1.13)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.31% (-0.21900000000001 -0.22)15.69% (0.223 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.25% (-0.412 -0.41)44.75% (0.41699999999999 0.42)
Score Analysis
    Lens 29.18%
    Paris Saint-Germain 48.2%
    Draw 22.62%
LensDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 7.02% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-0 @ 5.42% (0.128 0.13)
2-0 @ 3.79% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-1 @ 3.28% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-0 @ 1.77% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 29.18%
1-1 @ 10.03% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 6.51% (-0.095 -0.09)
0-0 @ 3.87% (0.178 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.87% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.62%
1-2 @ 9.29% (0.078999999999999 0.08)
0-1 @ 7.16% (0.276 0.28)
0-2 @ 6.63% (0.207 0.21)
1-3 @ 5.74% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 4.1% (0.097 0.1)
2-3 @ 4.02% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-4 @ 2.66% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.9% (0.03 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.86% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-5 @ 0.98% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 48.2%

How you voted: Lens vs PSG

Lens
9.7%
Draw
6.5%
Paris Saint-Germain
83.9%
62
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 3
PSG
3-1
Lens
Asensio (44'), Mbappe (52', 90')
Guilavogui (90+5')
Medina (19'), Haise (31'), Sotoca (42'), Spierings (79'), Machado (82'), Gradit (87')
> Preview
Apr 15, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 31
PSG
3-1
Lens
Mbappe (31'), Vitinha (37'), Messi (40')
Frankowski (60' pen.)
> Match Report
Jan 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Lens
3-1
PSG
Frankowski (5'), Openda (28'), Claude-Maurice (47')
Ekitike (8')
> Preview
Apr 23, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 34
PSG
1-1
Lens
Messi (68')
Ramos (54'), Verratti (73'), Marquinhos (78'), Neymar (90')
Jean (88')
Danso (9')
Danso (57')
> Preview
Dec 4, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 17
Lens
1-1
PSG
Fofana (62')
Medina (47'), Gradit (90+2')
Wijnaldum (90+1')
Verratti (63'), Hakimi (90')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG15114040122837
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1593324121230
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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