MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 09:06:46| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16
Dec 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
PSG logo

Lille
1 - 1
PSG

David (90+4')
Diakite (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mbappe (66' pen.)
Ugarte (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lille 3-0 KI
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Dortmund 1-1 PSG
Wednesday, December 13 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Lille 1-2 Paris Saint-Germain

As solid as Lille have been defensively this season, it has been a while since they have gone up against an attack with as much quality as PSG, and we believe there will be too many weapons for Les Dogues' backline to contend with on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
LilleDrawParis Saint-Germain
41.41% (2.636 2.64) 23.91% (0.396 0.4) 34.68% (-3.036 -3.04)
Both teams to score 61.42% (-1.937 -1.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.23% (-2.344 -2.34)40.76% (2.341 2.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.85% (-2.441 -2.44)63.15% (2.436 2.44)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.06% (0.206 0.21)19.94% (-0.212 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.91% (0.334 0.33)52.09% (-0.338 -0.34)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.72% (-2.628 -2.63)23.28% (2.623 2.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.79% (-3.984 -3.98)57.21% (3.98 3.98)
Score Analysis
    Lille 41.41%
    Paris Saint-Germain 34.68%
    Draw 23.9%
LilleDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 8.8% (0.373 0.37)
1-0 @ 7.48% (0.817 0.82)
2-0 @ 6.03% (0.694 0.69)
3-1 @ 4.73% (0.23 0.23)
3-2 @ 3.45% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-0 @ 3.24% (0.391 0.39)
4-1 @ 1.91% (0.104 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.31% (0.166 0.17)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 41.41%
1-1 @ 10.9% (0.39 0.39)
2-2 @ 6.41% (-0.232 -0.23)
0-0 @ 4.64% (0.48 0.48)
3-3 @ 1.67% (-0.191 -0.19)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.9%
1-2 @ 7.95% (-0.342 -0.34)
0-1 @ 6.77% (0.202 0.2)
0-2 @ 4.93% (-0.246 -0.25)
1-3 @ 3.86% (-0.497 -0.5)
2-3 @ 3.12% (-0.378 -0.38)
0-3 @ 2.4% (-0.326 -0.33)
1-4 @ 1.41% (-0.311 -0.31)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.242 -0.24)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 34.68%

How you voted: Lille vs PSG

Lille
14.1%
Draw
14.1%
Paris Saint-Germain
71.8%
71
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 24
PSG
4-3
Lille
Mbappe (11', 87'), Neymar (17'), Messi (90+5')
Diakite (24'), David (58' pen.), Bamba (69')
Aug 21, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Lille
1-7
PSG
Bamba (54')
Andre (39'), David (83')
Mbappe (1', 66', 87'), Messi (27'), Hakimi (39'), Neymar (43', 52')
Ramos (34')
Feb 6, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Lille
1-5
PSG
Botman (28')
Celik (75'), Bradaric (83')
Pereira (10', 51'), Kimpembe (32'), Messi (38'), Mbappe (67')
Paredes (45+1')
Oct 29, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 12
PSG
2-1
Lille
Marquinhos (74'), Di Maria (88')
Neymar (86')
David (31')
Mandava (5'), Yilmaz (36'), Sanches (57'), Celik (63'), Grbic (85')
Aug 1, 2021 7pm
Final
Lille
1-0
PSG
Xeka (45')
Araujo (78'), Jardim (90+2')

Kehrer (30'), Diallo (52'), Draxler (84'), Pereira (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!