Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16
Dec 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lille 3-0 KI Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
We said: Lille 1-2 Paris Saint-Germain
As solid as Lille have been defensively this season, it has been a while since they have gone up against an attack with as much quality as PSG, and we believe there will be too many weapons for Les Dogues' backline to contend with on Sunday.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 41.41% . A win for Paris Saint-Germain had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.9% .
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (6.03%) . The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 (7.95%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%) . The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood .
Result Lille Draw Paris Saint-Germain 41.41% ( 2.64) 23.91% ( 0.4) 34.68% ( -3.04)
Both teams to score 61.42% ( -1.94)
59.23% ( -2.34) 40.76% ( 2.34)
36.85% ( -2.44) 63.15% ( 2.44)
80.06% ( 0.21) 19.94% ( -0.21)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 47.91% ( 0.33) 52.09% ( -0.34)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
76.72% ( -2.63) 23.28% ( 2.62)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 42.79% ( -3.98) 57.21% ( 3.98)
Lille 41.41%
Paris Saint-Germain 34.68%
Draw 23.9%
Lille Draw Paris Saint-Germain 2-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.37) 1-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.82) 2-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.69) 3-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.23) 3-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.39) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.17) Other @ 3.08% Total : 41.41% 1-1 @ 10.9% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.48) 3-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.19) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.9% 1-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.34) 0-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.5) 2-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.38) 0-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.33) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.31) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.24) Other @ 3.12% Total : 34.68%
How you voted: Lille vs PSG
Lille
Draw
Paris Saint-Germain
71
rhs 2.0
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