Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
41.41% ( 2.64) | 23.91% ( 0.4) | 34.68% ( -3.04) |
Both teams to score 61.42% ( -1.94) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.23% ( -2.34) | 40.76% ( 2.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.85% ( -2.44) | 63.15% ( 2.44) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.06% ( 0.21) | 19.94% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.91% ( 0.33) | 52.09% ( -0.34) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.72% ( -2.63) | 23.28% ( 2.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.79% ( -3.98) | 57.21% ( 3.98) |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
2-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.37) 1-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.82) 2-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.69) 3-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.23) 3-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.39) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.17) Other @ 3.08% Total : 41.41% | 1-1 @ 10.9% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.48) 3-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.19) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.9% | 1-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.34) 0-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.5) 2-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.38) 0-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.33) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.31) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.24) Other @ 3.12% Total : 34.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
6 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
7 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
15 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
16 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |