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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Metz logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 34
Apr 24, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stade Saint-Symphorien
Brest logo

Metz
0 - 1
Brest


N'Doram (14'), Jemerson (35'), Kouyate (37'), Delaine (74')
Jemerson (78'), Oukidja (80')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Belaili (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Metz and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSG 5-0 Metz
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 2-4 Bordeaux
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Metz 1-2 Brest

Having failed to win several matches against direct rivals, Metz are effectively at the point of no return, and they will need to play on the front foot on Sunday. Nevertheless, Brest are seemingly ending the campaign on a high, and we are backing the visitors to run out the victors in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Metz had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Metz win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Brest in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Brest.

Result
MetzDrawBrest
30.48%26.4%43.12%
Both teams to score 51.42%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.89%53.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.32%74.69%
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.04%31.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.59%68.42%
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.57%24.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.14%58.86%
Score Analysis
    Metz 30.48%
    Brest 43.12%
    Draw 26.4%
MetzDrawBrest
1-0 @ 8.91%
2-1 @ 7.16%
2-0 @ 5.08%
3-1 @ 2.72%
3-0 @ 1.93%
3-2 @ 1.92%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 30.48%
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 7.81%
2-2 @ 5.05%
3-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.4%
0-1 @ 11%
1-2 @ 8.85%
0-2 @ 7.75%
1-3 @ 4.16%
0-3 @ 3.64%
2-3 @ 2.37%
1-4 @ 1.46%
0-4 @ 1.28%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 43.12%

How you voted: Metz vs Brest

Metz
27.9%
Draw
32.6%
Brest
39.5%
43
Head to Head
Sep 26, 2021 2pm
Brest
1-2
Metz
Faivre (68' pen.)
Pierre-Gabriel (46'), Mbock (71'), Chardonnet (88')
De Preville (26'), Centonze (74')
Kouyate (40'), Centonze (82')
Jan 31, 2021 2pm
Brest
2-4
Metz
Honorat (33'), Cardona (48')
Perraud (31')
Boulaya (36'), Sarr (74'), Ndiaga Yade (81'), Goncalves (88' pen.)
Ndiaga Yade (89'), Fofana (90+3'), Boulaya (90+3')
Nov 29, 2020 2pm
Metz
0-2
Brest

Oukidja (32'), Centonze (66')
Cardona (12'), Boye (64' og.)
Cardona (54')
Mar 21, 2020 7pm
Oct 30, 2019 8.05pm
Metz
1-1
Brest
Brest win 4-3 on penalties
Niane (23')
Cardona (57')
Belaud (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG108202982126
2Marseille1062223121120
3MonacoMonaco10622157820
4Lille10532169718
5Nice104421991016
6Lyon104331715215
7Lens1035297214
8Reims104241615114
9StrasbourgStrasbourg103431919013
10Auxerre104151718-113
11Brest104151316-313
12Toulouse103341111012
13Rennes103251316-311
14NantesNantes102441214-210
15Angers102441116-510
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne103161024-1410
17Le HavreLe Havre10307820-129
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier10118830-224


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