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Ligue 1
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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11
Nov 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Municipal Georges Lefevre
Montpellier

PSG
3 - 0
Montpellier

Kang-in (10'), Zaire-Emery (58'), Vitinha (66')
Mukiele (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 2-3 PSG
Sunday, October 29 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last Game: Montpellier 3-0 Toulouse
Sunday, October 29 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-1 Montpellier HSC

 Montpellier have kept their back door bolted shut more often than not in recent weeks, but over the past six years, PSG have always found a way through the Paillade backline on more than one occasion, and Friday's encounter should be no different. An in-form Adams is certainly capable of denying the hosts a fifth straight clean sheet at home, but Enrique's own effervescent forwards should fire their team to the top of the table - at least temporarily - on Friday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 62.52%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 17.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 1-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawMontpellier HSC
62.52% (0.019000000000005 0.02) 20.06% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 17.41% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 56.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.34% (0.018999999999998 0.02)38.65% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.04% (0.021999999999998 0.02)60.96% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.16% (0.010000000000005 0.01)11.84% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.9% (0.023000000000003 0.02)37.09% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.45%35.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.69%72.31%
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 62.52%
    Montpellier HSC 17.41%
    Draw 20.06%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawMontpellier HSC
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.58% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.98% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 7.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 6.81% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.76% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 3.65% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 3.64% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.95% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.61% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.55% (0.002 0)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 62.52%
1-1 @ 9.29% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.13%
0-0 @ 4.21% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.06%
1-2 @ 4.8% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 4.35% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 2.25% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.77%
1-3 @ 1.66% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 17.41%

How you voted: PSG vs Montpellier

Paris Saint-Germain
89.0%
Draw
6.0%
Montpellier HSC
5.0%
100
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 21
Montpellier
1-3
PSG
Nordin (89')
Ruiz (55'), Messi (72'), Zaire-Emery (90+2')
> Preview
Aug 13, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 2
PSG
5-2
Montpellier
Sacko (39' og.), Neymar (43' pen., 51'), Mbappe (69'), Sanches (87')
Kimpembe (60'), Vitinha (66')
Khazri (58'), Tchato Mbiayi (90+1')
Wahi (63')
> Preview
May 14, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 37
Montpellier
0-4
PSG

Souquet (41'), Ferri (89')
Messi (6', 20'), Di Maria (26'), Mbappe (60' pen.)
Herrera (34'), Simons (70'), Mbappe (85'), Marquinhos (90+2')
> Preview
Sep 25, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 8
PSG
2-0
Montpellier
Gueye (14'), Draxler (88')

Makouana (90+1')
> Preview
May 12, 2021 8pm
Semi-Finals
Montpellier
2-2
PSG
 PSG win 6-5 on penalties
Laborde (45'), Delort (83')
Ferri (52'), Mollet (65'), Savanier (89')
Mbappe (10', 50')
Bakker (89'), Neymar (90')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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