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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
PSG logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 9
Oct 21, 2023 at 4pm UK
Stade Municipal Georges Lefevre
Strasbourg

PSG
3 - 0
Strasbourg

Mbappe (10' pen.), Soler (31'), Ruiz (77')
Kang-in (82'), Ndour (88')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Strasbourg 1-2 Nantes
Friday, October 6 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-1 Strasbourg

PSG have often struggled against weaker sides in Ligue 1 so far this season, but their dominant history over Strasbourg should continue here. Two defeats before the break may have dented confidence slightly for Vieira's men, and this remains the most daunting fixture in French football so a defeat is on the cards for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 64.31%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 16.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 1-2 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawStrasbourg
64.31% (0.0079999999999956 0.01) 19.58%16.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.68% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)38.79% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.9% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)61.1% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.6% (0.0010000000000048 0)11.4% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.85% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)36.15% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.84% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)37.16% (0.014999999999993 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.05% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)73.95% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 64.31%
    Strasbourg 16.11%
    Draw 19.58%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawStrasbourg
2-0 @ 9.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 9.2% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 7.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 7.16% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 3.93% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 3.89%
3-2 @ 3.54% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.92% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.69% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 4.17%
Total : 64.31%
1-1 @ 9.11%
2-2 @ 4.89% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 4.24% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 19.58%
1-2 @ 4.51% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 4.19%
0-2 @ 2.08%
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.49% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 16.11%

How you voted: PSG vs Strasbourg

Paris Saint-Germain
93.3%
Draw
0.0%
Strasbourg
6.7%
30
Head to Head
May 27, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 37
Strasbourg
1-1
PSG
Gameiro (79')
Diarra (23')
Messi (59')
Vitinha (6'), Verratti (75')
Dec 28, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 16
PSG
2-1
Strasbourg
Marquinhos (14'), Mbappe (90+6' pen.)
Marquinhos (51' og.)
Apr 29, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 35
Strasbourg
3-3
PSG
Gameiro (3'), Verratti (75' og.), Caci (90+1')
Bellegarde (8'), Prcic (41'), Lienard (60')
Mbappe (23', 68'), Hakimi (64')
Neymar (73'), Kimpembe (90+2'), Donnarumma (90+5')
Aug 14, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 2
PSG
4-2
Strasbourg
Icardi (3'), Mbappe (25'), Draxler (27'), Sarabia (86')
Ebimbe (51')
Gameiro (53'), Ajorque (64')
Fila (60'), Djiku (79'), Bellegarde (90+1')
Djiku (81')
Apr 10, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 32
Strasbourg
1-4
PSG
Moise Sahi (63')
Mbappe (16'), Sarabia (27'), Kean (45'), Paredes (79')
Kean (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG108202982126
2Marseille1062223121120
3MonacoMonaco10622157820
4Lille10532169718
5Nice104421991016
6Lyon104331715215
7Lens1035297214
8Reims104241615114
9StrasbourgStrasbourg103431919013
10Auxerre104151718-113
11Brest104151316-313
12Toulouse103341111012
13Rennes103251316-311
14NantesNantes102441214-210
15Angers102441116-510
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne103161024-1410
17Le HavreLe Havre10307820-129
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier10118830-224


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