Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21

Feb 1, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier
1 - 3
PSG

Nordin (89')
Jullien (7')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ruiz (55'), Messi (72'), Zaire-Emery (90+2')
Pereira (11')

Christophe Galtier "not too worried" about Kylian Mbappe injury

Paris Saint-Germain manager Christophe Galtier eases fears of a serious injury to Kylian Mbappe after his withdrawal in their 3-1 Ligue 1 win over Montpellier HSC.

Feb 2, 11:04

PSG suffer double Kylian Mbappe, Sergio Ramos injury blow in Montpellier win

Kylian Mbappe and Sergio Ramos both come off injured in Paris Saint-Germain's 3-1 Ligue 1 win over Montpellier HSC on Wednesday night.

Feb 1, 22:04

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Last Game: Auxerre 0-2 Montpellier
Sunday, January 29 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: PSG 1-1 Reims
Sunday, January 29 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Montpellier HSC 1-2 Paris Saint-Germain

Fixtures with Montpellier have often been a walk in the park for PSG, but Galtier's side are enduring the true definition of a sticky patch, and the fervent Paillade faithful will be in a buoyant mood after their team's successful weekend exploits. A rejuvenated Mavididi also spells danger for a Verratti and Neymar-less PSG, but Galtier will be demanding an immediate response from his players and should get one against a leaky Montpellier side, although it may not be pretty. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 82.85%. A draw had a probability of 10.8% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 6.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-3 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.96%) and 1-3 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.71%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 2-1 (1.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSC	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
6.38% ( -0)	10.76% ( 0)	82.85% ( -0)

Both teams to score 54.65% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

76.93% (

-0.02)

23.07% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

57.65% (

-0.02)

42.35% (

0.02)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.96% (

-0.02)

43.04% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.67% (

-0.01)

79.33% (

0.01)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.95% (

-0.01)

4.04% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

82.98% (

-0.01)

17.01% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Montpellier HSC 6.38%

Paris Saint-Germain 82.85%

Draw 10.76%

Montpellier HSC	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 1.98% ( 0) 1-0 @ 1.47% ( 0) Other @ 2.93% Total : 6.38%	1-1 @ 4.71% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.18% 0-0 @ 1.74% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 10.76%	0-3 @ 9.58% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.96% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 8.07% 0-4 @ 7.68% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.55% ( 0) 1-4 @ 6.48% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.58% ( 0) 0-5 @ 4.93% 1-5 @ 4.16% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.4% ( -0) 2-4 @ 2.73% ( -0) 0-6 @ 2.64% 1-6 @ 2.22% ( -0) 2-5 @ 1.75% ( -0) 0-7 @ 1.21% ( -0) 1-7 @ 1.02% ( -0) 2-6 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.98% Total : 82.85%