Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 82.85%. A draw had a probability of 10.8% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 6.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-3 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.96%) and 1-3 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.71%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 2-1 (1.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
6.38% ( -0) | 10.76% ( 0) | 82.85% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 54.65% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
76.93% ( -0.02) | 23.07% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
57.65% ( -0.02) | 42.35% ( 0.02) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.96% ( -0.02) | 43.04% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.67% ( -0.01) | 79.33% ( 0.01) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.95% ( -0.01) | 4.04% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
82.98% ( -0.01) | 17.01% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
2-1 @ 1.98% ( 0) 1-0 @ 1.47% ( 0) Other @ 2.93% Total : 6.38% | 1-1 @ 4.71% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.18% 0-0 @ 1.74% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 10.76% | 0-3 @ 9.58% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.96% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 8.07% 0-4 @ 7.68% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.55% ( 0) 1-4 @ 6.48% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.58% ( 0) 0-5 @ 4.93% 1-5 @ 4.16% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.4% ( -0) 2-4 @ 2.73% ( -0) 0-6 @ 2.64% 1-6 @ 2.22% ( -0) 2-5 @ 1.75% ( -0) 0-7 @ 1.21% ( -0) 1-7 @ 1.02% ( -0) 2-6 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.98% Total : 82.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 8 | 21 | 26 |
2 | Marseille | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 20 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 20 |
4 | Lille | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 18 |
5 | Nice | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 16 |
6 | Lyon | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
7 | Lens | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 14 |
8 | Reims | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 14 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 13 |
10 | Auxerre | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 13 |
11 | Brest | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Toulouse | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
13 | Rennes | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 11 |
14 | NantesNantes | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Angers | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 10 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 30 | -22 | 4 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |