Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 25, 2023 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
PSG3 - 0AC Milan
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: PSG 3-0 Strasbourg
Saturday, October 21 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, October 21 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: AC Milan 0-1 Juventus
Sunday, October 22 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Sunday, October 22 at 7.45pm in Serie A
We said: Paris Saint-Germain 1-1 AC Milan
Aside from their implosion in the Derby della Madonnina, Milan know how to keep things tight when required and came close to posting a fourth straight clean sheet in all competitions last weekend. Therefore, even PSG's attacking stars may find it tough to score more than once, and a share of the spoils would perfectly set up next month's return. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 48.81%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 27.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | AC Milan |
48.81% ( -0.43) | 23.92% ( 0.11) | 27.26% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 57.36% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.63% ( -0.25) | 44.37% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.25% ( -0.24) | 66.74% ( 0.24) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.71% ( -0.27) | 18.29% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.64% ( -0.45) | 49.36% ( 0.45) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.2% ( 0.11) | 29.79% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.13% ( 0.13) | 65.87% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain 48.81%
AC Milan 27.26%
Draw 23.92%
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | AC Milan |
| 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.49% Total : 48.81% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.77% 0-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.92% | 1-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.6% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 4% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.2% Total : 27.26% |
How you voted: PSG vs AC Milan
Paris Saint-Germain
58.5%Draw
24.5%AC Milan
17.0%200
