Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 10

Oct 29, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier
3 - 0
Toulouse

Adams (13', 72'), Fayad (63')
Fayad (30'), Kouyate (45+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Suazo (34'), Magri (38'), Schmidt (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Last Game: Nantes 2-0 Montpellier
Sunday, October 22 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Toulouse

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Liverpool 5-1 Toulouse
Thursday, October 26 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Montpellier HSC 0-1 Toulouse

After a convincing loss at Nantes and a one-point deduction, it is fair to assume that Montpellier may not be in the best headspace to grind out a result on Sunday. Toulouse return to domestic matters following a humbling evening at Anfield, but we believe Martinez's men will get back to winning ways this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 46.31%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSC	Draw	Toulouse
46.31% ( -0.29)	24.21% ( 0.12)	29.48% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 58.04% (

-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.78% (

-0.45)

44.21% (

0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.41% (

-0.44)

66.59% (

0.44)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.76% (

-0.3)

19.24% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.05% (

-0.5)

50.95% (

0.5)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.86% (

-0.12)

28.13% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.19% (

-0.15)

63.81% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Montpellier HSC 46.31%

Toulouse 29.48%

Draw 24.2%

Montpellier HSC	Draw	Toulouse
2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.19% Total : 46.31%	1-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.2%	1-2 @ 7.17% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.03% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 29.48%