Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 46.31%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Toulouse |
46.31% ( -0.29) | 24.21% ( 0.12) | 29.48% ( 0.17) |
Both teams to score 58.04% ( -0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.78% ( -0.45) | 44.21% ( 0.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.41% ( -0.44) | 66.59% ( 0.44) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.76% ( -0.3) | 19.24% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.05% ( -0.5) | 50.95% ( 0.5) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.86% ( -0.12) | 28.13% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.19% ( -0.15) | 63.81% ( 0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Toulouse |
2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.19% Total : 46.31% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.2% | 1-2 @ 7.17% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.03% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 29.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |