Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
Result | ||
Nice | Draw | Strasbourg |
45.49% ( -0.77) | 25.87% ( 0.09) | 28.64% ( 0.67) |
Both teams to score 52.05% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.19% ( -0.01) | 51.81% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.43% ( -0.01) | 73.57% ( 0.01) |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.27% ( -0.36) | 22.73% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.6% ( -0.53) | 56.4% ( 0.53) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.36% ( 0.51) | 32.63% ( -0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.82% ( 0.57) | 69.18% ( -0.57) |
Score Analysis |
Nice | Draw | Strasbourg |
1-0 @ 10.98% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.11% Total : 45.48% | 1-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.42% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.87% | 0-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.58% Total : 28.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 22 |
5 | Nice | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 20 |
6 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
7 | Auxerre | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
9 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Le HavreLe Havre | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 12 |
15 | Rennes | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 11 |
16 | NantesNantes | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
17 | Angers | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |