Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 36.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.66%) and 2-0 (4.99%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Monaco |
40.55% ( -0.01) | 22.48% ( -0) | 36.96% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 67.33% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.75% ( -0) | 33.24% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45% | 55% ( -0) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.83% ( -0) | 17.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.59% ( -0) | 47.4% |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.28% | 18.71% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.92% ( 0) | 50.08% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Monaco |
2-1 @ 8.36% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.66% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.99% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.91% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.12% 3-0 @ 2.93% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.17% 4-2 @ 1.81% 4-0 @ 1.29% 4-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.3% Total : 40.55% | 1-1 @ 9.49% 2-2 @ 7.01% 0-0 @ 3.21% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.3% Other @ 0.48% Total : 22.48% | 1-2 @ 7.95% 0-1 @ 5.38% 0-2 @ 4.51% 1-3 @ 4.44% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.91% 0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.86% 2-4 @ 1.64% 0-4 @ 1.06% 3-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.74% Total : 36.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 37 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |