Rennes1 - 4PSG
We said: Rennes 0-2 Paris Saint-Germain
Rennes' applaudable home record against the champions and mean defensive streak since Beye took over means that Saturday's tie should not be a foregone conclusion, but PSG still have our backing to right their midweek wrongs. Enrique's talented attackers will no doubt break through the Rennes defence eventually, and once they do, gaps should open up for the holders to increase their advantage en route to a routine win. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 63.92%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Rennes had a probability of 16.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.69%) and 0-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for a Rennes win it was 2-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rennes | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
16.53% ( -0.04) | 19.55% ( -0.09) | 63.92% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 56.73% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.13% ( 0.36) | 37.87% ( -0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.87% ( 0.38) | 60.13% ( -0.39) |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.91% ( 0.18) | 36.09% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.13% ( 0.18) | 72.87% ( -0.19) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.77% ( 0.14) | 11.23% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 64.21% ( 0.31) | 35.79% ( -0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rennes | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.42% Total : 16.53% | 1-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 19.55% | 1-2 @ 9.87% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.69% ( -0.06)0-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 7.2% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 7.06% ( -0)1-4 @ 3.93% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 3.86% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 2.01% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 1.72% ( 0.03)0-5 @ 1.69% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.36% Total : 63.92% |
