Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 56.71%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 18.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.45%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.
Result | ||
Strasbourg | Draw | Ajaccio |
56.71% ( 0.11) | 24.56% ( -0.06) | 18.73% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 45.15% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.56% ( 0.15) | 55.44% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.37% ( 0.12) | 76.63% ( -0.12) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.54% ( 0.1) | 19.46% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.69% ( 0.16) | 51.31% ( -0.16) |
Ajaccio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.06% ( 0.02) | 43.95% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.92% ( 0.02) | 80.08% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Strasbourg | Draw | Ajaccio |
1-0 @ 13.99% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 11.45% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.1% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.67% Total : 56.7% | 1-1 @ 11.5% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.63% Total : 24.56% | 0-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.3% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 1.72% Total : 18.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 8 | 21 | 26 |
2 | Marseille | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 20 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 20 |
4 | Lille | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 18 |
5 | Nice | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 16 |
6 | Lyon | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
7 | Lens | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 14 |
8 | Reims | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 14 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 13 |
10 | Auxerre | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 13 |
11 | Brest | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Toulouse | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
13 | Rennes | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 11 |
14 | NantesNantes | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Angers | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 10 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 30 | -22 | 4 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |