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Angers
AJ Auxerre
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Le Havre
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Strasbourg
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 31
Apr 16, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Meinau
AC Ajaccio

Strasbourg
3 - 1
Ajaccio

Gameiro (26' pen.), Diarra (71'), Suzuki (89')
Prcic (79'), Diarra (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Barreto (76')
El Idrissy (34'), Coutadeur (63'), Avinel (70'), Diallo (83'), Kone (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Strasbourg and Ajaccio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lens 2-1 Strasbourg
Friday, April 7 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Ajaccio 0-3 Auxerre
Sunday, April 9 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Strasbourg 1-0 Ajaccio

Strasbourg return to familiar territory following two difficult away assignments, and you feel Antonetti's men will be targeting Sunday's fixture as a must win in their quest for survival. Ajaccio simply need to earn a win this weekend to avoid an even greater challenge of climbing out of the relegation zone, but we believe they will suffer their sixth-straight defeat in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 56.71%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 18.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.45%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.

Result
StrasbourgDrawAjaccio
56.71% (0.112 0.11) 24.56% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06) 18.73% (-0.052 -0.05)
Both teams to score 45.15% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.56% (0.145 0.15)55.44% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.37% (0.118 0.12)76.63% (-0.117 -0.12)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.54% (0.099000000000004 0.1)19.46% (-0.099 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.69% (0.16099999999999 0.16)51.31% (-0.16099999999999 -0.16)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.06% (0.024000000000001 0.02)43.95% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.92% (0.018999999999998 0.02)80.08% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Strasbourg 56.7%
    Ajaccio 18.73%
    Draw 24.56%
StrasbourgDrawAjaccio
1-0 @ 13.99% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 11.45% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.42% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.25% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.14% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.56% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.11% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.1% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 56.7%
1-1 @ 11.5% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.55% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.87% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 24.56%
0-1 @ 7.03% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-2 @ 4.73% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.89% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.3% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 18.73%

How you voted: Strasbourg vs Ajaccio

Strasbourg
68.8%
Draw
18.8%
Ajaccio
12.5%
16
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 4pm
Ajaccio
4-2
Strasbourg
Belaili (33' pen., 40' pen.), El Idrissy (34'), Nouri (45+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Steelers
19-24
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207


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