Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 62.07%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 16.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 0-1 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Strasbourg |
62.07% ( 0.05) | 21.41% ( -0.03) | 16.53% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 50.34% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.7% ( 0.08) | 46.3% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.41% ( 0.07) | 68.59% ( -0.07) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.64% ( 0.04) | 14.36% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.78% ( 0.08) | 42.22% ( -0.08) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.79% ( 0.02) | 41.21% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.26% ( 0.02) | 77.75% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Strasbourg |
1-0 @ 11.48% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 11.14% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.21% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.39% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.1% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 62.05% | 1-1 @ 10.18% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( 0) Other @ 0.93% Total : 21.41% | 0-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.51% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.33% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.33% 2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0) Other @ 1.82% Total : 16.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 5 | 15 | 16 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 16 |
3 | Marseille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 13 |
4 | Reims | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 11 |
5 | Lille | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
6 | Lens | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 |
7 | NantesNantes | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
8 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 9 |
9 | Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
10 | Rennes | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 |
11 | Lyon | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
13 | Brest | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 |
14 | Le HavreLe Havre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 6 |
15 | Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
16 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 4 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 4 |
18 | Angers | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 2 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |