Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11

Oct 16, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stade de l'Aube

Troyes
1 - 1
Ajaccio

Porozo (76')
Balde (18'), Ripart (53')

FT(HT: 0-0)

El Idrissy (88')
Kone (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Troyes and Ajaccio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Troyes

All competitions

Last Game: Nice 3-2 Troyes
Sunday, October 9 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ajaccio

All competitions

Last Game: Marseille 1-2 Ajaccio
Saturday, October 8 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Troyes are not playing bad at the moment, but they are looking low on confidence and Ajaccio should have plenty of it after last weekend's win. Not enough to move them above their opponents, but we think L'ours will earn their second consecutive win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 41.99%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 2-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.24%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
Troyes	Draw	Ajaccio
41.99% ( -0.29)	29.01% ( 0.08)	29% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 43.4% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.07% (

-0.19)

62.93% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.58% (

-0.14)

82.42% (

0.14)

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.37% (

-0.25)

29.63% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.33% (

-0.31)

65.67% (

0.31)

Ajaccio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.67% (

0.07)

38.33% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.91% (

0.06)

75.09% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Troyes 41.99%

Ajaccio 28.99%

Draw 28.99%

Troyes	Draw	Ajaccio
1-0 @ 13.81% 2-0 @ 8.4% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.06% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.44% Total : 41.99%	1-1 @ 13.24% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.35% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.54% Total : 28.99%	0-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 1.61% Total : 28.99%