Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 41.99%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 2-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.24%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Troyes | Draw | Ajaccio |
41.99% ( -0.29) | 29.01% ( 0.08) | 29% ( 0.21) |
Both teams to score 43.4% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.07% ( -0.19) | 62.93% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.58% ( -0.14) | 82.42% ( 0.14) |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.37% ( -0.25) | 29.63% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.33% ( -0.31) | 65.67% ( 0.31) |
Ajaccio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.67% ( 0.07) | 38.33% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.91% ( 0.06) | 75.09% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Troyes | Draw | Ajaccio |
1-0 @ 13.81% 2-0 @ 8.4% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.06% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.44% Total : 41.99% | 1-1 @ 13.24% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.35% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.54% Total : 28.99% | 0-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 1.61% Total : 28.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 10 | 23 | 29 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 20 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Reims | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
14 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |