Auxerre

4 - 1

Chateauroux

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 57.43%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Chateauroux had a probability of 18.54%.

The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.35%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Chateauroux win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.