Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 36.44%. A win for Dunkerque had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.44%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Dunkerque win was 1-0 (12.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
