Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 45.59%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Dunkerque had a probability of 25.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.56%) and 1-2 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%), while for a Dunkerque win it was 1-0 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
