Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 73.3%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Rumilly Vallieres had a probability of 9.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.12%) and 0-3 (10.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%), while for a Rumilly Vallieres win it was 1-0 (3.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
