Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunkerque win with a probability of 36.75%. A win for Valenciennes had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunkerque win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.72%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Valenciennes win was 0-1 (11.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dunkerque in this match.