Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nimes win with a probability of 47.71%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Caen had a probability of 24.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nimes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.79%), while for a Caen win it was 0-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.