Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 50.89%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 22.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.