MX23RW : Wednesday, July 3 07:40:37| >> :600:433116:433116:
[monks data]
Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 33
Feb 27, 2021 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Sheffield Wednesday logo

Luton
3 - 2
Sheff Weds

Naismith (50'), Tunnicliffe (58'), Adebayo (86')
Rea (84')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Windass (6', 42')
Hutchinson (82'), Urhoghide (85')

Preview: Luton Town vs. Sheffield Wednesday - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Sheffield Wednesday, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Sheffield Wednesday's next mission on their quest for Championship survival is a trip to an out-of-form Luton Town side on Saturday afternoon.

The Owls are 23rd in the table and three points adrift of safety, while the Hatters are nine points above the relegation zone in 17th – their lowest position of the season so far.


Match preview

Sheffield Wednesday caretaker manager Neil Thompson pictured in February 2021© Reuters

Wednesday were beaten 3-0 by promotion-pushing Brentford on Wednesday night - their third successive loss and joint-biggest margin of defeat so far this season.

Ultimately, it was a game that they were never expected to win, and it will be fixtures like this trip to Kenilworth Road, and next week's Yorkshire derby against fellow strugglers Rotherham United, that will define their Championship status.

The Owls have won just three of their 16 league away games this season – and just one of the last 13 – while only opponents Luton have scored fewer goals on the road in the Championship.

Wednesday are the league's overall lowest scorers in 2020-21 with just 21 goals to their name, with Wednesday night being the 13th time they have drawn a blank this season.

A turnaround in form is desperately needed for Neil Thompson's side, and if it does not come against Luton, supporters may seriously start to worry about the club's future.

Luton Town's Glen Rea celebrates scoring against Bristol City in the Championship on December 29, 2020© Reuters

The Hatters, meanwhile, have won just one of their last seven league games, while only Huddersfield Town have picked up fewer points since the start of 2021.

Nathan Jones's men are one of three Championship teams yet to win a home league game in 2021, and no side has scored fewer goals than Luton (four) since the start of the calendar year; they have also only scored more than once in a game in one of their last 15 fixtures.

However, the Bedfordshire outfit were cruelly denied a win at Kenilworth Road on Tuesday night as they conceded in the 95th-minute to draw 1-1 against Millwall.

January signing Elijah Adebayo had opened the scoring for Luton with his first goal for the club, but Jones was left "really disappointed" by the agonising late equaliser.

Five of the last seven games between Luton and Wednesday have ended 1-0, including this season's reverse fixture in October, which the Hatters won thanks to Pelly Ruddock Mpanzu's second-half goal.

Luton Town Championship form: LDWLLD

Sheffield Wednesday Championship form: WLWLLL


Team News

Luton Town manager Nathan Jones pictured in December 2020© Reuters

Jones has hinted that either Matty Pearson or Tom Lockyer could return from their respective recent injuries, revealing "one isn't (fit), we might have a surprise with the other".

Glen Rea, Pelly Ruddock-Mpanzu and top scorer James Collins all started on the bench on Tuesday as Jones looked to rest some of his most-used players, but all three could be put back into the side at the weekend.

January signings Tom Ince and Elijah Adebayo should keep their places after impressive full debuts.

Wednesday will still be without Liam Shaw, who is serving a two-match suspension for his red card against Birmingham City last weekend.

Kieran Westwood missed the defeat to Brentford because of a rib problem and is likely to be absent again, while Thompson has confirmed that Massimo Luongo has had a setback in his return from injury and will be out for another five or six weeks.

Callum Paterson is expected to return to the starting lineup upfront after Thompson gave the Scot a rest in midweek by naming him on the bench.

Luton Town possible starting lineup:
Sluga; Pearson, Cranie, Bradley, Potts; Morrell, Rea, Dewsbury-Hall; Adebayo, Collins, Ince

Sheffield Wednesday possible starting lineup:
Wildsmith; Dunkley, Lees, Urhoghide; Harris, Bannan, Hutchinson, Pelupessy, Reach; Paterson, Rhodes


SM words green background

We say: Luton Town 0-1 Sheffield Wednesday

These are two sides struggling for both form and goals, suggesting this could be a low-scoring and tense affair. Wednesday need the points more, though, and we think that the Owls will just about edge the game.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home Win:data



ID:436715:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect8245:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 (10.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Game History

How you voted: Luton vs Sheff Weds

Luton Town
45.9%
Draw
21.6%
Sheffield Wednesday
32.4%
37
Collect / Create New Data
Share this article now:
Luton Town manager Nathan Jones pictured in December 2020
Read Next:
Nathan Jones "really disappointed" as Millwall snatch point against Luton
>
Sports Mole Logo
Enter your email address to subscribe to Sports Mole's free daily transfer newsletter! Sent twice a day during the transfer window.
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Friday, July 5
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Spain
vs.
Germany
 
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Portugal
vs.
France
Saturday, July 6
 
5pm
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!