Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 46.24%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.