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Austin FC
Major League Soccer
Mar 17, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Bold Stadium
Philadelphia Union

Austin
2 - 2
Philadelphia

Rubio (56'), Gallagher (58')
Wolff (34'), Biro (45+6'), Rubio (56'), Cascante (67')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gazdag (14' pen.), Uhre (65')
Sullivan (33'), Carranza (45+5'), Andres Martinez (62'), Elliott (70'), Gazdag (81'), Lowe (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Austin 2-2 St Louis City
Sunday, March 10 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Pachuca 6-0 Philadelphia
Wednesday, March 13 at 12.15am in CONCACAF Champions League

We said: Austin FC 1-1 Philadelphia Union

Clean sheets have been at a premium for both sides of late, and we expect neither of them to come away unbroken from this one. We are also backing a share of the spoils with honours even at the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 45.47%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Austin FCDrawPhiladelphia Union
45.47% (-1.413 -1.41) 24.96% (0.643 0.64) 29.57% (0.776 0.78)
Both teams to score 55.55% (-1.637 -1.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.48% (-2.379 -2.38)47.52% (2.384 2.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.28% (-2.241 -2.24)69.72% (2.245 2.25)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.06% (-1.566 -1.57)20.94% (1.572 1.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.32% (-2.514 -2.51)53.68% (2.519 2.52)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.26% (-0.66200000000001 -0.66)29.74% (0.667 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.19% (-0.812 -0.81)65.81% (0.816 0.82)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 45.47%
    Philadelphia Union 29.57%
    Draw 24.96%
Austin FCDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 9.74% (0.494 0.49)
2-1 @ 9.23% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-0 @ 7.61% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.81% (-0.318 -0.32)
3-0 @ 3.97% (-0.185 -0.19)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.251 -0.25)
4-1 @ 1.88% (-0.224 -0.22)
4-0 @ 1.55% (-0.153 -0.15)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.16 -0.16)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 45.47%
1-1 @ 11.8% (0.39 0.39)
0-0 @ 6.23% (0.597 0.6)
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.192 -0.19)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.125 -0.13)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.96%
0-1 @ 7.55% (0.596 0.6)
1-2 @ 7.16% (0.107 0.11)
0-2 @ 4.58% (0.283 0.28)
1-3 @ 2.89% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.26% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.85% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 29.57%

How you voted: Austin vs Philadelphia

Austin FC
57.1%
Draw
28.6%
Philadelphia Union
14.3%
7
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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