Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.