Major League Soccer

Aug 7, 2022 at 12.30am UK

Columbus Crew Stadium

Columbus Crew
3 - 2
NY City

Camilo Hernandez (20'), Zelarayan (27', 75')
Mensah (5'), Etienne (63')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Mensah (3' og.), Pereira (64')
Rodriguez (18'), Morales (47'), Tinnerholm (74'), Amundsen (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Columbus Crew and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Columbus Crew 2-2 New York City FC

New York City have proven to be a tough team to beat this season, and although Columbus usually fare well at home against Saturday's opponents, we think that the hosts will have to settle for a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.

Result
Columbus Crew	Draw	New York City FC
39.28% ( -1.45)	26.96% ( 0.28)	33.76% ( 1.17)

Both teams to score 50.77% (

-0.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.57% (

-0.89)

54.43% (

0.89)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.2% (

-0.75)

75.8% (

0.75)

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.94% (

-1.21)

27.06% (

1.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.57% (

-1.6)

62.43% (

1.6)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.61% (

0.32)

30.39% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.42% (

0.38)

66.58% (

-0.38)

Score Analysis

Columbus Crew 39.27%

New York City FC 33.76%

Draw 26.96%

Columbus Crew	Draw	New York City FC
1-0 @ 10.74% 2-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.24) 3-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.22) 3-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 1% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.07% Total : 39.27%	1-1 @ 12.8% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.96%	0-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.42) 1-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.3) 1-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.28% Total : 33.76%